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Churchill 3/1 to Win the Derby After Newmarket Success

May 11, 2017 04:43:21 PM

By: Lee Ashfield

Connections of 2000 Guineas winner Churchill have yet to commit to the Derby despite his success at Newmarket.

The bookmakers reacted to his win in the opening classic of the season by cutting Churchill to 3/1 in the betting for the Derby. The last horse to do the Newmarket and Epsom double was Camelot, who was also trained by this year’s 2000 Guineas-winning trainer, Aidan O’Brien, in 2012.

Credit: Newmarket Racecourse via Twitter

O’Brien must now decide if he feels his horse is equally as effective when stepping up half a mile at Epsom. If not, he will remain at 1m and possible attempt 1m2f later in the campaign. The St James’s Palace Stakes at Royal Ascot at the back end of June would be his likely next outing if the Derby is turned down with the horse.

Cracksman is currently second best in the betting for the Derby at 8/1, a position he has held since winning the Derby Trial at Epsom last month. Running in the silks of the 2015 Derby and Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe winner Golden Horn, the three-year-old ran on well inside the final furlong to suggest he will find further improvement for the step up to 1m4f. Two-time winner of the British classic, Frankie Dettori, is expected to remain on board the horse for the most prestigious race on the flat calendar in the UK.

John Gosden’s talented colt is a son of one of the greatest flat horses of the modern era in Frankel, who is still bidding for his first classic winner from his offspring. Cracksman is unbeaten in two starts as he also won his maiden at Newmarket last October over a mile.

Cliffs of Moher has yet to feature in 2017 but is third in the Derby betting at 10/1. O’Brien’s colt broke his maiden at the second attempt at Leopardstown back in October but was immediately backed following that run.

The son of Galileo was entered into the classic from a very early stage so he was bred to be a Derby horse. His warm-up outing for Epsom could come at either Chester in the Dee Stakes or the Group Two Dante Stakes at York.

Credit: Josh Pearson via Twitter

Eminent is set to return to action in the Derby following his run in the 2000 Guineas, where he finished sixth in the race won by Churchill. Connections of the horse have always felt their runner will improve for the step up in trip so they see the 1m4f contest at Epsom as the perfect opportunity for him to win a classic.

The Martyn Meade-trained horse won the Group Three Craven Stakes last month at Newmarket. He stayed on strongly in that 1m race in what was a fast gallop from the start. The son of Frankel is 12/1 to prevail in the Derby.

The betting for the Derby is likely to be updated following Chester’s May Meeting, while there are a number of Trials throughout this month before the field is finalised for Epsom.

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